Originalni naučni rad / Original scientific paper
UDK 314.12:612.663(497.6RS)
COBISS.RS-ID 143739649
DOI: 10.7251/HER2529095M
DOWNLOAD.pdf
Draško Marinković1, Aleksandar Majić1 i Aleksandra Petrašević1
1Univerzitet u Banjoj Luci, Prirodno-matematički fakultet, Banja Luka, Republika Srpska, BiH
Sažetak: Istraživanje ima za cilj analizu demografskih, obrazovnih i vrijednosnih orijentacija mladih u Republici Srpskoj, sa posebnim osvrtom na regionalne razlike u stavovima prema nastavku školovanja, migracionim namjerama, planiranju porodice i fertilitetu. Cilj je utvrditi u kojoj mjeri socioekonomski i kulturni faktori utiču na odluke mladih o zasnivanju porodice i njihovoj demografskoj budućnosti. Istraživanje je sprovedeno na reprezentativnom uzorku srednjoškolskog stanovništva (N ≈ 9.000), a podaci su obrađeni primjenom deskriptivne i komparativne statistike. Osnovni analitički postupak predstavljalo je ukrštanje regije (nezavisna varijabla) sa nizom demografskih i vrijednosnih pokazatelja (zavisne varijable): namjera nastavka školovanja, planiranje studiranja u Republici Srpskoj, namjera napuštanja zemlje, spremnost za zasnivanje porodice, viđenje porodice i djece kao vrijednosti, motivi za roditeljstvo, uticaj medija i ekonomskih faktora na porodične odluke. Rezultati istraživanja pokazuju da ekonomski i socijalni činioci imaju ključnu ulogu u procesu donošenja životnih odluka mladih, ali i da je prisutna stabilna afektivna i tradicionalna orijentacija prema porodici. Mladi porodicu najčešće doživljavaju kao izvor ljubavi, sigurnosti i povjerenja, dok fertilne namjere ostaju simbolički pozitivne, uprkos ograničenjima koja proizilaze iz ekonomske nestabilnosti. Zaključuje se da demografska budućnost zavisi od povezanosti ekonomskih politika i sistemske podrške porodici. Uprkos izazovima, mladi u Republici Srpskoj zadržavaju stabilan sistem porodičnih i kulturnih vrijednosti, što predstavlja značajan potencijal za budući društveni razvoj.
Ključne riječi: stavovi mladih, planiranje porodice, Republika Srpska
Draško Marinković1, Aleksandar Majić1 and Aleksandra Petrašević1
1University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Banja Luka, Republic of Srpska, B&H
Abstract: This paper examines the demographic, educational, and value orientations of young people in the Republic of Srpska, with a particular focus on regional disparities in attitudes toward educational continuation, migration intentions, family formation, and fertility. The study seeks to assess the extent to which socioeconomic and cultural determinants shape young people’s decisions regarding family formation and their long-term demographic trajectories. Empirical research was conducted on a large, representative sample of secondary school students (N ≈ 9,000). Data were analyzed using descriptive and comparative statistical techniques. The core analytical framework relied on cross-tabulation of region as the independent variable with a set of demographic and value-related indicators as dependent variables, including intentions to continue education, plans to pursue higher education within the Republic of Srpska, intentions to emigrate, readiness to establish a family, perceptions of family and children as core values, motivations for parenthood, and the perceived influence of media and economic conditions on family-related decision-making. The findings indicate that economic and social factors exert a decisive influence on young people’s life-course choices. At the same time, a relatively stable affective and traditional orientation toward family persists across regions. Family is predominantly perceived as a source of emotional support, security, and trust, while fertility intentions remain normatively and symbolically positive despite structural constraints stemming from economic uncertainty. The results suggest that future demographic development largely depends on the coherence between economic policies and comprehensive, systematic family-support measures. Despite pronounced socioeconomic challenges, young people in the Republic of Srpska continue to maintain a stable system of family- and culture-based values, representing an important demographic and social development potential.
Keywords: youth attitudes; fertility intentions; family formation; demographic behaviour; Republic of Srpska
CITIRAJTE (Cite this article):
Marinković, D., Majić, A., & Petrašević, A. (2025). Fertilne namjere i porodične orijentacije mladih u Republici Srpskoj. Glasnik/Herald, 29, 95–126. https://doi.org/10.7251/HER2529095M
Marinković, D., Majić, A., & Petrašević, A. (2025). Fertility intentions and family orientations among young people in the Republic of Srpska. Glasnik/Herald, 29, 95–126. https://doi.org/10.7251/HER2529095M
Autor za korespondenciju: Draško Marinković, Univerzitet u Banjoj Luci, Prirodno-matematički fakultet, Mladena Stojanovića 2, 78000 Banja Luka, E-mail: drasko.marinkovic@pmf.unibl.org
Corresponding author: Draško Marinković, University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Mladena Stojanovića 2, 78000 Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina. E-mail: drasko.marinkovic@pmf.unibl.org